In polling that recently emerged from NBC News that measured prospective voters’ opinions in the event that Trump and Biden face each other again in 2024, the Democratic incumbent had a large lead among women. A full 55 percent of women included in the surveying were behind Biden, while Trump only had 38 percent.
These numbers mirror other political trends that have recently been spotlighted. For instance, women have been consistently and unsurprisingly found to be strongly in opposition to the decision by the U.S. Supreme Court to overturn Roe v. Wade, which meant the undoing of national legal protections for abortion. In what was actually the same polling (NBC’s pollsters tested a lot of questions at once), 61 percent of general respondents said they disapproved of overturning Roe. Among women from the ages of 18 through 49, disapproval was (roughly) 80 percent. None of those numbers are good electoral signs for a party that has made going after abortion such a prominent part of their platform.
In the June numbers from NBC, Biden had a slight overall lead over Trump also on the overall question for all respondents of which candidate they’d support in a 2024 rematch. At 49 percent, nearly half of those polled said Biden, while Trump was at 45 percent. That overall pool consisted of registered voters.
Florida GOP Governor Ron DeSantis was tied with Biden when pitted against him, though the chief executive in that southern state might not be making it out of the primary. A majority of Republican primary voters picked Trump in this NBC polling, which mirrors the results that have been seen elsewhere. DeSantis, who has made stumping for the GOP’s side in so-called culture war issues a key part of his approach to public life, just isn’t all that popular outside the Florida Republican circles that gave him another term.
On the Democratic side, Biden has no credible challenger. Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., a known conspiracy theorist, won’t be getting anywhere remotely close to Biden’s vote totals according to essentially all available polling. A third Democratic candidate, Marianne Williamson, finds herself in the single digits.
